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Russia’s initial strategy in Ukraine failed, Western military analysts claim

Moscow claims that the goal of the first phase of the military operation in Ukraine has been achieved. In the second stage, their target is the eastern part of Ukraine. Russia’s top military commander, Sergei Ruskay Budanov, has said that Kiev’s combat capabilities have been severely curtailed in the ongoing operation in Ukraine.

Russia’s top Western military analyst, Phillips O’Brien, disagreed. He told the BBC that Russia’s initial strategy in Ukraine had failed, adding that “now it is up to the military to decide what to do next.”

Phillips O’Brien, a professor of strategic studies at the University of St Andrews, said many foreign observers had speculated that Russia’s military might would win the war. However, this is a “very misconception” about Russia’s capabilities. Those observers did not consider whether the country’s military wanted to wage war. At the same time, they have underestimated the capacity of Ukraine.

Professor Phillips said Ukraine had been preparing for war since Russia occupied Crimea in 2014. Because, they do not want to be ‘under Russian dictatorship’. Now Russia has to decide what they will do. They can intensify the war or reduce its intensity.

The military analyst said that it would be most reasonable for Russia to reduce its aggression and reach an agreement. “But they don’t seem to be willing to do it now,” he said.

According to O’Brien, in order to increase the intensity of the war, the Russian army needs to be restructured from scratch. “The most frightening thing is that Russia can carry out chemical, biological or nuclear weapons attacks,” he said. He must either reduce or increase the aggression. The way things are going now, it can’t happen. ‘

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